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Of course the only way to know what your bullet speed is would be to chrono it.  The book load is an average/estimate of what you will achieve.  2 inches shorter could actually be faster than what you are guesstimating for the longer barrel.  Usually FPS loss is roughly 30 FPS/in depending on who you ask.


Here is a calculator that can give you some idea of what you are doing, but without actual measurements, the only way to know is to shoot at those distances.


http://www.handloads.com/calc/


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