Iranian Uprising

From the beginning of this conflict I maintained that UNLESS there was a regime change, there wasn’t a lot to come from this other than the destruction of the nuclear facility.

The oil and gas problem in Iran is a temporary problem, all crisis create opportunity. At the moment and near future Iran is holding all the cards regarding oil and the Strait of Hormuz. They can enjoy their new found power of holding the world hostage on oil but it will be a VERY short lived 15 minutes of fame.

Iran has shown the entire world the NEED to drill for oil and gas outside of this region and that’s exactly what will happen, “drill Baby drill”. World markets and the NEED for petro will drive “new” oil production through the roof. Every drilling contractor, oil and gas producer will be drilling.

For the moment Iran has screwed the world and in the long term, Iran has screwed themselves and their neighbors. Neighboring oil rich countries best wake from their slumber! Their oil based economies will slowly crumble; the world will find oil and gas elsewhere.
 
When the U.S. tried building armies in Iraq and Afghanistan, it had 20 years, massive troop presence, secure supply lines, and far less economic pressure than today.

Now there’s less time, less public appetite for another forever war, and a world economy already strained by disrupted shipping and energy markets.

So if that strategy failed under better conditions then, believing it will work faster under worse conditions now — inside Iran, a larger and more entrenched state — isn’t strategy. It’s a Fox News storyline.
 
Yesterday’s Senate Appropriations Defense Subcommittee hearing on the 2027 Pentagon budget turned into a hearing on the Iran war. Hegseth came to defend a $1.5 trillion Pentagon budget, but senators kept pressing one point: with $29 billion already spent and no clear endgame, how long can the economy absorb this before the damage spreads further?



I guess Hegseth should’ve just told the Senate to relax — we’re secretly training Iranians to overthrow their government... from hundreds of miles offshore, while hiding from missile range. Should be any day now.
 
Fall of Kabul — the U.S. told the Afghan army it was time to stand on its own. As fast as we pulled out, they folded and the Taliban took the country.

Northern Iraq offensive — ISIS swept across Iraq, and Iraqi troops abandoned posts so fast many ditched their uniforms and ran.

Years of training. Billions in equipment. Embedded advisors. Blue-on-green attacks during the mission. And that was the result.

So now we’re supposed to believe the same playbook suddenly works inside Iran — faster, from hundreds of miles offshore, under worse economic pressure?
 
Infidel 762 said:
Fall of Kabul — the U.S. told the Afghan army it was time to stand on its own. As fast as we pulled out, they folded and the Taliban took the country.

Northern Iraq offensive — ISIS swept across Iraq, and Iraqi troops abandoned posts so fast many ditched their uniforms and ran.

Years of training. Billions in equipment. Embedded advisors. Blue-on-green attacks during the mission. And that was the result.

So now we’re supposed to believe the same playbook suddenly works inside Iran — faster, from hundreds of miles offshore, under worse economic pressure?
Click to expand...
Seems we like to stack up the "historical shit shows" over the last several decades.
 
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