Iranian Uprising


That’s actually a clever line — “the cheapest energy is the one you don’t use.”

But they also know they’d be playing with fire. The moment their navy starts messing with tankers, it’s not just about Iran anymore — it’s about whatever flag those ships are flying. You start interfering with Chinese or Russian vessels and suddenly you’ve opened a much bigger can of worms.

At that point, they’ve got to ask themselves a hard question: can they really count on the U.S. to show up the way they expect… or does it turn into another “where were you when we needed you?” situation.

Funny how those “ironclad alliances” don’t feel so ironclad when things get real.
 
One might read this before being critical of the Iran/oil problem
Close call to killing 2/3 of world population. Iran is similar in attitude. Oil problem is a temporary problem. Same when the 'dplt' was in charge and during iraq. Remember when Iraq set their oil fields on fire?
I thought those sand cooked eggs were called bluts but now I hear it is baluts. And the Philopenas I worked with in Corpus had their 'booze' fermenting behind the reefers. I didn't partake of either.
Dad's ancestor came over after Cromwell died, Mom's were Quaker refugees. Wife's were escaped from French prison and went to what is now Quebec. All pre-1600s and not an easy life.

“The oil problem is temporary.” Maybe—but the price spikes and the inflation that follow don’t feel temporary to the people paying for it.

People tend to focus on a couple of flexible, headline items—gas, eggs—while the broader trend keeps creeping up. Take something simple like soda: how much did a bottle of Pepsi cost when you were a kid? When have you ever seen that price truly go down, outside of sales or buy-one-get-one deals? It doesn’t. Prices might dip temporarily, but they rarely return to where they used to be.

Same logic applies across the board. When shipping costs rise, they get passed to consumers. And when those costs fall, corporations don’t suddenly say, “Let’s cut into profits and lower prices for everyone.” That’s not how the system works. So the idea that grocery prices were going to meaningfully drop always deserved a little skepticism. They’re quick to raise prices when costs go up, but much slower to bring them back down.

Now, to be fair, you’re not wrong that the “oil problem” can be temporary in a narrow sense. We don’t hear “peak oil” much anymore—American shale pushed that concern down the road. But that doesn’t mean the issue is solved, just delayed. Demand keeps growing, and unless alternatives catch up, supply pressure comes back. It’s not about running out—it’s about oil becoming harder and more expensive to produce at the scale we need. I think we will see future wars tied to oil if we stay short sighted.

History already gives us a preview of how that plays out. During the Gulf War, retreating forces set oil fields on fire rather than let them fall intact. It wasn’t strategic brilliance—it was scorched-earth desperation. And Iran has shown a similar mindset: if pushed hard enough, they’re not above damaging their own infrastructure to deny an advantage.

So yeah—temporary problem, maybe. Temporary consequences? Not even close.
 
I think you’re giving this way too much 4D chess credit. If this was some grand play to shift the timeline on China and Taiwan, it wouldn’t look this sloppy. This was supposed to be quick and controlled — instead it’s turning into a slow bleed.

We’re not sending some calculated signal to China… we’re stuck dealing with modern day Barbary pirates in the Strait of Hormuz and the Red Sea, where shipping lanes — not battlefields — are deciding the pressure.

Meanwhile, all this instability just gives more room for oil trade to drift away from the dollar and toward the yuan. That’s not strategy. That’s a situation getting away from the plan.
It will be interesting to see how China handles the situation when faced with a blockade. They warned Trump to not mess with their ships. Shit is going to get Spicy
 
DJT needs to stop posting his BS. I like him, but he's not helping his image or the image of others following to fill his shoes.
Agree, but don’t hold your breath. He’s his own worst enemy.

I’ve seen all the backlash he’s getting over posting that, and honestly, it tracks with something that’s been sitting wrong with me for a while. Even back at the Donald Trump presidential inauguration 2025, when he didn’t put his hand on the Bible during the oath, it gave off a strange vibe.

Yeah, there’s still a segment of hardcore MAGA supporters who treat him like a godsend—but that group isn’t as big as it used to be, and it’s shrinking. If this post was aimed at them, it completely ignores everyone else who’s already on the fence and keeps pushing them further away.

I’ve tried to look at it from his perspective, and I still can’t wrap my head around the thought process that ends with: “yeah… I’m gonna post this.”
 
It will be interesting to see how China handles the situation when faced with a blockade. They warned Trump to not mess with their ships. Shit is going to get Spicy
You can’t assume future seizures would go as smoothly as the tankers taken off Venezuela. Those operations relied heavily on surprise and very specific conditions—they’re not a reliable blueprint for everything moving forward.

And again—this isn’t like Venezuela. Once countries expect it, the whole equation changes. Ships that think they’re targets start showing up prepared, even armed, and now you’re not boarding a compliant vessel—you’re stepping into a potential firefight. The element of surprise is gone. And suddenly, fast-roping Tier 1 guys out of blackhawk helicopters onto a tanker isn’t a clean operation anymore—it’s a risk that can be countered in seconds by anyone with an RPG.

What worked once doesn’t mean it works twice—especially when everyone’s watching for it.
 
It will be interesting to see how China handles the situation when faced with a blockade. They warned Trump to not mess with their ships. Shit is going to get Spicy
But I’m sure America’s seen Captain Phillips—if Somali pirates can pull off a tanker hijacking, it wouldn’t exactly be a heavy lift for the U.S. military. :)
 
International law and tanker ins co + the owners are not allowed to arm them. Some companies have security force to repel boarding parties, all that is allowed. As to the petro dollar, that fight has been going on a long time. China is having a hard time getting paid for the belt and road program. Their economy isn't that great anymore. I also think posting that mime was silly. My original post was that Americans have struggled (WWII especially - no fuel, sugar, rubber, nylons, booze - and the gals learned to work in factories). IF we survive, we will recover.
 
I know things wont go smoothly at all. It will be a bad situation and not one that has been seen in a long time. Let hope it doesn't escalate and Trump doesn't go on another tirade about our great military and go off the rails. Dont get me wrong we are great but there hasn't been a near peer war with modern weapons. I dont see Putins war as near peer, he could of crushed them in the opening if he wanted.
You can’t assume future seizures would go as smoothly as the tankers taken off Venezuela. Those operations relied heavily on surprise and very specific conditions—they’re not a reliable blueprint for everything moving forward.

And again—this isn’t like Venezuela. Once countries expect it, the whole equation changes. Ships that think they’re targets start showing up prepared, even armed, and now you’re not boarding a compliant vessel—you’re stepping into a potential firefight. The element of surprise is gone. And suddenly, fast-roping Tier 1 guys out of blackhawk helicopters onto a tanker isn’t a clean operation anymore—it’s a risk that can be countered in seconds by anyone with an RPG.

What worked once doesn’t mean it works twice—especially when everyone’s watching for it.
 
International law and tanker ins co + the owners are not allowed to arm them. Some companies have security force to repel boarding parties, all that is allowed. As to the petro dollar, that fight has been going on a long time. China is having a hard time getting paid for the belt and road program. Their economy isn't that great anymore. I also think posting that mime was silly. My original post was that Americans have struggled (WWII especially - no fuel, sugar, rubber, nylons, booze - and the gals learned to work in factories). IF we survive, we will recover.
I’m still holding out hope this ceasefire actually sticks and we get things back to something resembling normal without sliding into more escalation. Honestly, I’d love nothing more than to eat my words and say, “Jesus, that was one hell of a ride Trump took us on—and somehow, in the end, it worked.”

Militarily, we mopped the floor with Iran’s ass. But this blockade? It feels less like a finishing move and more like shifting into long, drawn-out economic warfare after taking out the bulk of their hardware—now it’s just a question of who can last longer.

The reality is, you don’t completely shut off a country’s ability to launch missiles. One would be naive to believe they are not being re-armed by China as we re-arm. But who is re-arming us, replenishing the munitions we’re sending over there now?

We’ve seen this before. If the U.S. couldn’t fully cut the supply lines running through Laos and Cambodia to the NVA during Vietnam, what makes us think we can completely isolate Iran now?
 
Not satire. Iran -- the regime whose morality police beat a 22-year-old woman named Mahsa Amini to death for a loose headscarf -- has just been elevated to a role within a key United Nations body shaping global policy on women's rights, disarmament, and terrorism prevention.
 
Not satire. Iran -- the regime whose morality police beat a 22-year-old woman named Mahsa Amini to death for a loose headscarf -- has just been elevated to a role within a key United Nations body shaping global policy on women's rights, disarmament, and terrorism prevention.
This is another thing that shows how stupid the UN is.
 
We're actually not blocking the straight. We're blocking Iranian ports
I know what they are doing—I was just referring to it as everyone else is.

When asked; “Why do you always insist on taking the hard road
I mustered the strength to lift my head and reply; “What makes you think I see two roads?

I believe that is the stubborn will of the IRGC, and even when we were on the brink, beyond creditable threat, with actual bombers in the air to take out what this blockade is designed to do in fast short order, they raised their beaten heads to spit back in our face and say; bring itwe will swing back at the life sustaining infrastructure of our neighbors.

That’s the waiting game of wills we are entering now. Correct me if I am wrong.
 
Not to mention the human chains that formed around power plants and bridges while bombers were still in the air. If anything is clear, it’s how their ideology frames martyrdom. Ours is more like: “Who’s actually willing to die for Iran?” I’m sure the volunteer lines would look a lot different if those slogans were real signs with signup sheets—lol.
 
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Not to mention the human chains that formed around power plants and bridges while bombers were still in the air. If anything is clear, it’s how their ideology frames martyrdom. Ours is more like: “Who’s actually willing to die for Iran?” I’m sure the volunteer lines would look a lot different if those slogans were real signs with signup sheets—lol.
This is what most don't understand and can't begin to comprehend. THE culture is raised to die for what they think is right, that ideology is what great empires were built upon, including ours. Most Americans today always talk about boating accidents and what was lost jokingly. One day it may not be a joke.
 
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