I'd say for a first rifle, a bolt gun would be the best choice and with all the choices more economical than an AR.
I own Rems, Savages, CZ's, a Browning A-bolt and a Marlin XL-7.
I'd start with a Savage or a Marlin because you can do barrel swaps for peanuts! The Marlin may have to have the breach face machined off about .010" for the extractor to have enough clearance if you install a Savage barrel on it. I am not fond of the Axis yet, there are only a trigger you can change and that's about it. The dollar difference is not enough to encourage me to get "boxed in" with less customization capability.
What I would look for in a Savage is one of the short actions with the detachable magazine. You can change the magazines on the blind models but with the detach. its a slip one out and snap the other one in!!! In the Marlin, your short actions are the XS series. You can't change the bolt head on a Marlin however.
You do have to be mindful of the "tuppeware" stocks that Savage/Stevens as well as that Marlin uses. You can toughen them up (like a carbon arrow shaft cut and mortised into the barrel channel with a tough epoxy) if you are creative but most folks just buy a Carlson Duramax and be done with it.
My .02 and best regards
Three 44s